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Friday, June 28, 2013

The Rich will be targeted in a big reset

At some point, there will be a big reset. In the democracies of the Western world, large numbers of people will vote against the well-to-do. Throughout history, minorities have been targeted. Now the rich will be targeted through some kind of wealth tax or significantly higher tax rates. Eventually there will be so much antagonism against well-to-do people that it won't be comfortable.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber on Black Swan Event and global risks

Geopolitical conditions could deteriorate badly in the Middle East and Asia. America's reset toward Asia has alarmed the Chinese, who won't tolerate U.S. interference long term in the region. Then there's the possibility of a Black Swan event. If the S&P 500 drops 20%, the Fed will print more money, so that's not a huge downside risk. But the bond market could collapse, inflation could accelerate, or the Chinese economy could implode. Or we could have a destabilizing political event, or a pandemic.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

25% of Assets in Equities

I don't know how the world will look in five years, so I have heeded Ray Dalio's advice to diversify. [Dalio of Bridgewater Associates.] I keep 25% of my assets in equities. I haven't shorted anything yet, although I am tempted to short the S&P or the Russell 2000. I don't own U.S. stocks, but I hold some Asian shares, including Singapore real-estate investment trusts, which I will discuss momentarily. Markets in the Philippines, Indonesia, and Thailand have quadrupled from their post crisis lows, and aren't attractive any more. But I still hold some shares in these markets with relatively high dividend yields.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Thursday, June 27, 2013

Marc Faber: I should thank Mr Ben Bernanke

I own equities, and I should thank Mr. Bernanke. The Fed has been flooding the system with money. The problem is the money doesn't flow into the system evenly. It doesn't increase economic activity and asset prices in concert. Instead, it creates dangerous excesses in countries and asset classes. Money-printing fueled the colossal stock-market bubble of 1999-2000, when the Nasdaq more than doubled, becoming disconnected from economic reality. It fueled the housing bubble, which burst in 2008, and the commodities bubble. Now money is flowing into the high-end asset market—things like stocks, bonds, art, wine, jewelry, and luxury real estate. The art-auction houses are seeing record sales.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Markets could fall 20 to 30 percent

Stock markets are oversold in the next ten days on a very short term basis, not just in the US but in other countries as well. The S&P could rebound to 1630 - 1640. The highs from May was 1687 and the markets could correct 20 to 30 percent from those highs.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Fed mistakes repeated everytime

The government bailed out savings-and-loan depositors during the thrift crisis in the late 1980s. The U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve bailed out Mexico in the mid-1990s. The biggest policy mistake occurred with the Fed-supervised bailout of the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, because it gave a green light to Wall Street to keep leveraging up. Another policy mistake was made in 2000, right after the Nasdaq collapsed. The system probably could have handled a recession then, but instead, the Fed engineered a drop in interest rates, eventually to 1%, that encouraged a huge housing bubble. After it burst in September 2008, Bernanke slashed short-term rates to near-zero, where they are still. Meanwhile, the stock market is up 150% from its 2009 lows.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Policy mistakes by Fed

I doubt Keynes [British economist John Keynes] would approve of current policies. Neither would the late economist Milton Friedman, even though Bernanke invoked him to justify his actions. The neo-Keynesians would argue that if the Fed hadn't flooded the system with money, things would have been much worse. That might be true, but they would have been worse for a shorter period of time.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Asian markets

Three other Asian markets—Japan, Vietnam, and China—performed miserably for most of last year. I'm not keen on Chinese equities, but if conditions worsen and China prints money like crazy, the currency will weaken and stocks will rise. I own some issues in Hong Kong, but without great enthusiasm. I own Swire Pacific, Hang Seng Bank, Sun Hung Kai Properties, and Fortune REIT which owns shopping malls. One China play I like is China Mengniu Dairy.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Rich will be targeted in a big reset

At some point, there will be a big reset. In the democracies of the Western world, large numbers of people will vote against the well-to-do. Throughout history, minorities have been targeted. Now the rich will be targeted through some kind of wealth tax or significantly higher tax rates. Eventually there will be so much antagonism against well-to-do people that it won't be comfortable.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Continue to Accumulate Physical Gold

"Technically, commodities look horrible…precious metals look bad. But tech factors would suggest we’re approaching at least an intermediate low. The commercials, which are essentially hedgers, people who produce gold and so continuously hedge, at the present time they have an extremely low short exposure, basically they’re accumulating gold. “Whereas gold is close to $1,300 compared to say $700 in 2008, conditions in the mining industry are horrible. The exploration companies are running out of money and industry conditions are worse than they were in 2008. So I think that a lot of supply that potentially comes to the market through new exploration will simply not be there. In emerging economies sovereign funds, central banks and individuals will continue to accumulate physical gold." - in Market Watch

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

The Stock Market is Risky

Marc Faber is a great contrarian investor and publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report. He is well known for his accurace predictions of stock market crashes and other correct calls on different investment assets.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Asset prices are grossly inflated globally

I am suggesting that in the fourth year of an economic expansion, near-zero interest rates will lead to a further mis-allocation of capital. I thought the U.S. market would have a 20% correction last fall, but it didn't happen. I also said the market might explode to the upside before the correction occurred. We might be in the final acceleration phase now. The Standard & Poor's 500 is at 1650. It could rally to 1750 or even 2000 in the next month or two before collapsing. People with assets are all doomed, because prices are grossly inflated globally for stocks, bonds, and collectibles.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Policy mistakes by The FED

I doubt Keynes [British economist John Keynes] would approve of current policies. Neither would the late economist Milton Friedman, even though Bernanke invoked him to justify his actions. The neo-Keynesians would argue that if the Fed hadn't flooded the system with money, things would have been much worse. That might be true, but they would have been worse for a shorter period of time.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber on The Asian markets

Three other Asian markets—Japan, Vietnam, and China—performed miserably for most of last year. I'm not keen on Chinese equities, but if conditions worsen and China prints money like crazy, the currency will weaken and stocks will rise. I own some issues in Hong Kong, but without great enthusiasm. I own Swire Pacific, Hang Seng Bank, Sun Hung Kai Properties, and Fortune REIT which owns shopping malls. One China play I like is China Mengniu Dairy.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Rich will be targeted in a big reset


At some point, there will be a big reset. In the democracies of the Western world, large numbers of people will vote against the well-to-do. Throughout history, minorities have been targeted. Now the rich will be targeted through some kind of wealth tax or significantly higher tax rates. Eventually there will be so much antagonism against well-to-do people that it won't be comfortable.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

The U.S Will Default


"For a while, yes, but at some point people will wake up and realize that the U.S. will default through a depreciating currency—in other words, through printing money—or by not paying the interest on the bonds. I don't think the U.S. will stop paying the interest, but printing more money will weaken the currency and produce higher inflation in consumer prices, asset prices and commodity prices. So being in U.S. government bonds will result in losses to investors through currency depreciation." - in The AUReport:

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

People With Financial Assets Are All Doomed



As Barron's notes in this recent interview, Marc Faber views the world with a skeptical eye, and never hesitates to speak his mind when things don't look quite right. In other words, he would be the first in a crowd to tell you the emperor has no clothes, and has done so early, often, and aptly in the case of numerous investment bubbles. With even the world's bankers now concerned at 'unsustainable bubbles', it is therefore unsurprising that in the discussion below, Faber explains, among other things, the fallacy of the Fed's help "the problem is the money doesn't flow into the system evenly, how with money-printing "the majority loses, and the minority wins," and how, thanks to the further misallocation of capital, "people with assets are all doomed, because prices are grossly inflated globally for stocks and bonds." Faber says he buys gold every month, adding that "I want to have some assets that aren't in the banking system. When the asset bubble bursts, financial assets will be particularly vulnerable." - in Zero Hedge

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Gold is Very Oversold


"Well, right now equities, bonds and gold are very oversold. They can easily rally on the S&P. We could rally 43, 50 points, but I don't expect a new high. Just in case a new high would be achieved in the next two months or so, it would not be confirmed by the majority of shares. In other words, very few stocks would lead the advance. In terms of bonds, they are also incredibly oversold. Where the sentiment about equities is actually still rather positive and all of these super bulls still predicting the market to continue to rise into 2014, 2015. In bonds and gold, sentiment is by historical standards incredibly negative. As a contrarian, I would rather buy bonds and gold than equities."
Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber Likes Bonds, Gold More Than Equities

 "If you believe that Bernanke means what he says," says Gloom, Boom, and Doom's Marc Faber, "then you believe in Father Christmas." Faber adds that, "we are going to see QE99," and while he states that equities, bonds, and gold are "very oversold," he prefer to buy bonds and gold than equities. Marc Faber also warns that "the S&P could drop 20-30% from the recent highs – without much of a problem."

"The only thing that I know is that I want to own some physical gold because I don't want all of my assets in financial assets."

Marc Faber thoughts about the markets:

"Well, right now equities, bonds and gold are very oversold. They can easily rally on the S&P. We could rally 43, 50 points, but I don't expect a new high. Just in case a new high would be achieved in the next two months or so, it would not be confirmed by the majority of shares. In other words, very few stocks would lead the advance. In terms of bonds, they are also incredibly oversold. Where the sentiment about equities is actually still rather positive and all of these super bulls still predicting the market to continue to rise into 2014, 2015. In bonds and gold, sentiment is by historical standards incredibly negative. As a contrarian, I would rather buy bonds and gold than equities."

His comments on bonds and QE tappering:

"If you say that if he means what he says, then you believe in Father Christmas. He said if the economy does not meet the expectations of the fed in one years' time, they will consider additional measures. In other words, if the economy has not fully recovered by mid-2014, more QE will be forthcoming. As I said already three years ago, we are going to go with the Fed to QE99."

Is Marc Faber worried about inflation?

"Well, I think investors have a misconception about what inflation is because it is essentially an increase in the quantity of money and credit. We have wage deflation in the world in real terms, for sure. In other words, real wages are going down and the cost of living everywhere are going up. That is why you have social unrest in North Africa, in the Middle East, in Turkey, in Brazil, and it will spread because the average person on the street hasn't participated in the huge asset inflation that has been going on in high-end properties, Mayfair properties, Fifth Avenue, Madison Avenue, the Hamptons and in equities and until recently in bonds and commodities."

Marc Faber on gold down moves:

"To that I respond there are many people out there, they never owned an ounce of gold in their lives. They were bearish about gold at $300, bearish about gold at $700, bearish about the stock market in 2009 when the S&P was at 666. Now, they are bullish about stocks and they are still bearish about gold. The commercial hedgers - these are professional miners, mining companies and people involved in gold trading. They have the lowest short exposure, since 2001 when gold was at $300. Similarly, in the silver market, the commercial hedgers, again, the professionals have the lowest short exposure since 2001. I would rather bet on the commercial miners, the commercial hedgers than on some forecaster who knows about the future of prices as little as I know. The only thing that I know is that I want to own some physical gold because I don't want all of my assets in financial assets."

Comments on the US economy and stocks:

"First of all, I believe that today we are talking about the global economy. The U.S. stock market has just about outperformed any other market around the world in the last 6 to 12 months. We have big trouble coming into emerging economies. The emerging economies are not performing well, There is no growth at the present time. The Chinese economy, maximum is growing at four percent per annum. We have multinationals in the S&P. Their growth and global growth came from the last four years from the recovery in the emerging world. If the emerging world does not grow, the global economy will not perform well and corporate profits, as we just saw today from Oracle, will disappoint and stocks won't be the best investment in the world... I think the market is on the high side, corporate profits are inflated and we could easily, from the recent high, May 22 at 1687 on the S&P, drop by 20% to 30%, easily."

Marc Faber prediction on where gold will be by year end:

"Well, I think we will be higher by year end but I am not worried where we are. I have said that I buy gold regularly. I just bought today at $1300 and I will buy more at $1200 and I will buy more at $1100." "I don't know, I am not a prophet, I don't know exactly where the price will be on a month by month basis, but I want to have some wealth, some of my assets in physical gold. I can see a lot of problems coming into the world including expropriation through taxation or through regulation or even through revolution and social strife."

His thoughts on where 10 year yield is going:

"I am tempted to buy a 10 year treasury at a yield of 2.5%. I think we will rebound in the treasury market. Yields will go down first, and if they go up further, it will kill the economy including the housing market."


Marc Faber is a great contrarian investor and publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report. He is well known for his accurace predictions of stock market crashes and other correct calls on different investment assets.
 


 Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Friday, June 21, 2013

Fed mistakes repeated every time

The government bailed out savings-and-loan depositors during the thrift crisis in the late 1980s. The U.S. Treasury and Federal Reserve bailed out Mexico in the mid-1990s. The biggest policy mistake occurred with the Fed-supervised bailout of the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management in 1998, because it gave a green light to Wall Street to keep leveraging up. Another policy mistake was made in 2000, right after the Nasdaq collapsed. The system probably could have handled a recession then, but instead, the Fed engineered a drop in interest rates, eventually to 1%, that encouraged a huge housing bubble. After it burst in September 2008, Bernanke slashed short-term rates to near-zero, where they are still. Meanwhile, the stock market is up 150% from its 2009 lows.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Asset prices are grossly inflated globally

I am suggesting that in the fourth year of an economic expansion, near-zero interest rates will lead to a further mis-allocation of capital. I thought the U.S. market would have a 20% correction last fall, but it didn't happen. I also said the market might explode to the upside before the correction occurred. We might be in the final acceleration phase now. The Standard & Poor's 500 is at 1650. It could rally to 1750 or even 2000 in the next month or two before collapsing. People with assets are all doomed, because prices are grossly inflated globally for stocks, bonds, and collectibles.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

Europe has too many structural problems

In my view, the European economy will not suddenly recover. It has too many structural problems. One way that the so-called "banking crisis" could be resolved, though, is to let inflation rates rise. Asset prices would then shoot up, and loan portfolios would be better covered. But I do not really think that inflation is the solution.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber: I should thank Bernanke

I own equities, and I should thank Mr. Bernanke. The Fed has been flooding the system with money. The problem is the money doesn't flow into the system evenly. It doesn't increase economic activity and asset prices in concert. Instead, it creates dangerous excesses in countries and asset classes. Money-printing fueled the colossal stock-market bubble of 1999-2000, when the Nasdaq more than doubled, becoming disconnected from economic reality. It fueled the housing bubble, which burst in 2008, and the commodities bubble. Now money is flowing into the high-end asset market—things like stocks, bonds, art, wine, jewelry, and luxury real estate. The art-auction houses are seeing record sales. Property prices in the Hamptons rose 35% last year. Sandy Weill [the former head of Citigroup] bought a Manhattan condominium in 2007 for $43.7 million. He sold it last year for $88 million. Money-printing boosts the economy of the people closest to the money flow. But it doesn't help the worker in Detroit, or the vast majority of the middle class. It leads to a widening wealth gap. The majority loses, and the minority wins. Although I have been a beneficiary of this policy, I can't approve as an economist and social observer.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Cyprus bailout dilemna

European policymakers believe that in the next round of bank bailouts the depositors will have to pay their part, as was the case in Cyprus. The main question is who pays for what? In Cyprus, accounts up to €100,000 ($129,000) are adjudged to be safe, but accounts above that limit may lose as much as 40-60%. There is a question of social equity here: why should a depositor with €5M in a Cyprus bank lose, while a depositor with less than €100,000 sits pat? There is also a technical problem. Say you are a homeowner in Cyprus and you sold your house for US$1M the day before they announced the confiscatory measures. The buyer paid you $1M and you deposited it in the bank. Now, you will now lose 40-60% of your money, but you haven't done anything wrong. You just sold your house. Or what if I own no land, but have stored all of my wealth in bank deposits? The technical and political details involved in making bail outs fair—spreading out the pain—are very difficult. It may not be feasible to sanction depositors.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Monday, June 17, 2013

Derivatives are dangerous

The danger is that the whole financial system could blow up due to the huge amount of derivatives still outstanding. Once again, excessive speculation is being fueled by artificially low interest rates, and asset bubbles exist everywhere.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Europe has too many structural problems

In my view, the European economy will not suddenly recover. It has too many structural problems. One way that the so-called "banking crisis" could be resolved, though, is to let inflation rates rise. Asset prices would then shoot up, and loan portfolios would be better covered. But I do not really think that inflation is the solution.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Friday, June 14, 2013

These Are Marc Faber's Favorite Singapore REITs

Marc Faber: That's right. I like stocks such as SIA Engineering (SIE.Singapore) and Kingsmen Creatives(KMEN.Singapore) in Singapore. As for REIT stocks, they rose 40% last year, and are up 10% to 15% this year. They won't keep rising that way, but yields of 5% and 5.5% compare favorably with those of U.S. REITs. Plus, if inflation picks up, the REITs can raise their rents. In a world of inflated asset prices, there is a competition to choose the least-ugly assets. - in Barron's

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Government Handouts

Using handouts, the governments monetized the debt structures of the European Central Bank (ECB) and its subsidiaries in countries like Spain, Italy and Portugal.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber : People With Financial Assets Are All Doomed

As Barron's notes in this recent interview, Marc Faber views the world with a skeptical eye, and never hesitates to speak his mind when things don't look quite right. In other words, he would be the first in a crowd to tell you the emperor has no clothes, and has done so early, often, and aptly in the case of numerous investment bubbles. With even the world's bankers now concerned at 'unsustainable bubbles', it is therefore unsurprising that in the discussion below, Faber explains, among other things, the fallacy of the Fed's help "the problem is the money doesn't flow into the system evenly, how with money-printing "the majority loses, and the minority wins," and how, thanks to the further misallocation of capital, "people with assets are all doomed, because prices are grossly inflated globally for stocks and bonds." Faber says he buys gold every month, adding that "I want to have some assets that aren't in the banking system. When the asset bubble bursts, financial assets will be particularly vulnerable."

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Wednesday, June 12, 2013

Marc Faber leaning towards Shorting stocks

A lot of large caps stocks Mc Donald's MCD, Coca Cola KO, Walmart WMT, P&G PG most likely have peaked out. There are still stocks that show strength that could continue to appreciate. That momentum could bring a new high possibly around 1700. I wouldn't bet on it. If someone put a gun on my head and said you have to be long or short, I would take the short side.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Markets have Corporate bonds fully priced

The corporate bond market in emerging markets is fully priced. The high yield bond market in the last two weeks, has gone down by 6 to 7 percent. The equity markets in the Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand are in the sky. They are already expensive. Good companies they sell at 20 to 25 times earning, I don't think there's great value there.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber buying Vietnam shares

I'm buying Vietnamese shares and I'm thinking of buying at some point Chinese shares. The good companies in China are also expensive, they are not cheap. Last November, I said to buy Japan shares. Since then Japan is up more than 70% and in dollar terms 30%. I want to buy more Japan on a setback.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Monday, June 10, 2013

Marc Faber on The Recession in China

China is a country twice the population of US and Canada in terms of population. So you can have some sectors and some regions, like the US has California. Occasionally California is in a recession but New England is booming. Same can happen in China, some sectors are contracting, some provinces are growing.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

The World needs less financial services graduates

Unemployment is high in both Europe and the U.S., particularly for young people. One reason for the high unemployment rate is that it is very difficult to find highly specialized workers for industry. Perhaps that's due to more university students studying non-user-friendly subjects, such as philosophy. The Western world is lacking in well-trained workers who can handle industrial machines that cost $10-20 million ($10-20M). But if I need a clerical assistant for financial services, I can find hundreds and hundreds of applicants.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber leaning towards Shorting stocks


A lot of large caps stocks Mc Donald's MCD, Coca Cola KO, Walmart WMT, P&G PG most likely have peaked out. There are still stocks that show strength that could continue to appreciate. That momentum could bring a new high possibly around 1700. I wouldn't bet on it. If someone put a gun on my head and said you have to be long or short, I would take the short side.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

The U.S Will Default


"For a while, yes, but at some point people will wake up and realize that the U.S. will default through a depreciating currency—in other words, through printing money—or by not paying the interest on the bonds. I don't think the U.S. will stop paying the interest, but printing more money will weaken the currency and produce higher inflation in consumer prices, asset prices and commodity prices. So being in U.S. government bonds will result in losses to investors through currency depreciation." - in The AUReport



Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

People With Financial Assets Are All Doomed


As Barron's notes in this recent interview, Marc Faber views the world with a skeptical eye, and never hesitates to speak his mind when things don't look quite right. In other words, he would be the first in a crowd to tell you the emperor has no clothes, and has done so early, often, and aptly in the case of numerous investment bubbles. With even the world's bankers now concerned at 'unsustainable bubbles', it is therefore unsurprising that in the discussion below, Faber explains, among other things, the fallacy of the Fed's help "the problem is the money doesn't flow into the system evenly, how with money-printing "the majority loses, and the minority wins," and how, thanks to the further misallocation of capital, "people with assets are all doomed, because prices are grossly inflated globally for stocks and bonds." Faber says he buys gold every month, adding that "I want to have some assets that aren't in the banking system. When the asset bubble bursts, financial assets will be particularly vulnerable."- in Zero Hedge


Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Friday, June 7, 2013

China credit bubble dangerous

In the last 20 years China has made huge progress, huge economic development, but I equally feel post crisis in 2008 there were massive monetary and stimulus that has led to a huge credit bubble. I think that credit bubble is rather dangerous. I do not believe the current Chinese economy is growing at 7 or 8 percent but rather like 4% or even less. The credit bubble will come undue sooner or later.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber on China Recession

China is a country twice the population of US and Canada in terms of population. So you can have some sectors and some regions, like the US has California. Occasionally California is in a recession but New England is booming. Same can happen in China, some sectors are contracting, some provinces are growing.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

I Have Never Seen Such a Disconnect

"In the 40 years I've been working as an economist and investor, I have never seen such a disconnect between the asset market and the economic reality ... Asset markets are in the sky and the economy of the ordinary people is in the dumps, where their real incomes adjusted for inflation are going down and asset markets are going up."

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Total Collapse of Confidence

"The next crisis could lead to a deflationary bust. And a bust in governments. In other words, we may have a total collapse in confidence in the system."

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Marc Faber buys Gold mining stock

Last week, I bought for the first time in a long time a gold stock. Gold and silver mining stocks have the potential to rebound by between 30% and 40%.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber: US stocks and market vulnerable

In the US also many stocks have given up their gains. In the near term we are bit oversold and we may rally to around 1660 or 1670. We could make a new high but the new highs would not be confirmed by the majority of shares so I think the market is actually quite vulnerable.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

The Fed has no exit strategy

They [The Fed] will continue to print in my opinion. I don't think they will have an exit strategy, ever. There is no exit. They are so deep into essentially monetizing the U.S. debt. The U.S. Treasury and the U.S. Fed is one and the same. This game will continue for a long time but the impact on the asset markets, that is the question.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

China credit bubble dangerous

In the last 20 years China has made huge progress, huge economic development, but I equally feel post crisis in 2008 there were massive monetary and stimulus that has led to a huge credit bubble. I think that credit bubble is rather dangerous. I do not believe the current Chinese economy is growing at 7 or 8 percent but rather like 4% or even less. The credit bubble will come undue sooner or later.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

I Have Never Seen Such a Disconnect

"In the 40 years I've been working as an economist and investor, I have never seen such a disconnect between the asset market and the economic reality ... Asset markets are in the sky and the economy of the ordinary people is in the dumps, where their real incomes adjusted for inflation are going down and asset markets are going up."

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Monday, June 3, 2013

Everybody is a Momentum Player

"I'm not a believer in the manipulation theory. I'm not a believer in all the conspiracy theories. I'm a believer that the market went down because there was a technical break and also because stocks are so strong. So, when people look at their gold and they look at the stock market that goes up every day, they then decide ‘Gold is dead. Let’s buy stocks’ because, at heart nowadays, everybody is a momentum player. The fund managers who must outperform the index, the hedge fund guys, the high-velocity trading people, the algorithmic people – they’re all momentum players. What moves up, they chase. What moves down, they sell." - Source, Business Insider:

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber on career prior to relocating to Asia in 1973

At that time[1970's], when you finished ­university in Europe you could really choose any kind of job. There were more job offers than applicants so it was quite easy to find a job, maybe not the best job, but you could find a job. I chose the job that paid the most and they sent me right away to New York for training, an investment bank.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber June 2013 Gloom Boom Doom report / Market commentary

Around the world, bond yields have been rising. What this increase in yields means is that the tailwind from declining interest rates, which benefited equities in recent years, has disappeared. Rising bond yields combined with a serious deterioration in numerous technical indicators lead me to believe that stock market around the world have far more downside risk than what is being perceived by the currently ebullient crowd of investors.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

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