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Monday, March 17, 2014

Asian conflict partly due to US military bases


My view is this: we wouldn’t have a conflict in Asia if not for the intervention by the U.S. The U.S. has a security pact with Japan and has military bases and naval basis all over Asia.

The Chinese economy is highly vulnerable to interruptions in the supply of metals and of oil. 47% of global metals consumption is from China. It’s up from 4% in 1990 and 10% in the year 2000. So they have become a huge factor.

For their industrial production, they need resources; they need iron ore from Australia, copper from Australia and elsewhere, and oil from the Middle East. That’s their only source of oil — the Middle East –, compared to say the U.S. that can source oil from Canada, from Mexico and who have a rising domestic production.

So the Chinese are very concerned about interruptions of supplies; I think that over time, the Chinese will want to control the East and South China Sea. I do not think that they have any plans for aggression, but the U.S. wouldn’t be particularly happy either if, say, the Chinese or the Russians had military bases in the Caribbean, in Mexico, in Canada and so forth.

The Chinese cannot accept to be encircled by U.S. military bases in Central Asia, South East Asia, and North Asia. I think those tensions will increase over time.




Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Social unrest comes from money printing



I am of course completely against the money printing that the central banks do. They basically only enrich people that own assets. For people that don’t own assets, their wealth or their standards of living go down. This creates growing wealth and income inequality that leads to social unrest or geopolitical problems.




Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Healthy Bull Markets need decent Corrections




These types of bull markets without a correction usually lead to more than just a correction. Just in the last six months there has been euphoria for U.S. equities.
My view is that it's not a good time to buy U.S. equities. It's a better time to get out of stocks than into stocks.


Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.
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