Subscribe via Email:

Monday, March 4, 2013

Marc Faber Warns: ‘Market Has Peaked Out’

If the stock market continues to climb into July or August, a crash is possible, says Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report. The stock market has "peaked out" and bonds may be on their way to a rebound, Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, said Thursday on CNBC. "I think we have made an intermediate top, and it could be a longer-term top," he said on "Fast Money." "I don't think the market is as overbought as it was in '87, so I don't expect a crash. But I think for the time being, the market has peaked out, and I think in the meantime, bonds, which are extremely oversold, could rebound," he said. The S&P 500 closed at 1,502.52 Thursday. A level of 1,530 could prove to be a longer-term high, Faber said. "What I maintained in earlier interviews is that either we have a correction now, and then we go up further or we go straight up high in July-August, from where we could crash, so I welcome a correction here," he said. "The question will be, after this correction, we have to watch the market's rebound, whether it can make a new high or not." Faber's holdings are 25 percent gold, 25 percent equities, 25 percent corporate bonds and cash, and 25 percent in real estate. Why should investors believe his bearish prognostications? "There was a correction between March, April 2012 and actually June 2012, so we had a correction, and then from September onward, when the S&P reached 1,474, we also had a correction into November, at which stage I said that the market would now rally. So I don't think I've been so totally wrong about the moves of the market, especially since 2009, and I can document those with the performance of my portfolio. "But I think that the market has now become quite overbought and that is very significant or overextended, bullish sentiment. Everybody says, 'Sell bonds, buy equities.' And when everybody thinks alike, one has to be careful."
Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

Marc Faber Answers Question – “How Will The Money Printing Experiment End?”

“Well, that is a very good question. I wish I knew the answer precisely. I suppose what will happen at some point is that both the fiscal deficit question will have to be addressed, and that less money will have to be printed, which will then have a negative impact on asset markets…”

“Now will it just trigger a correction or a more serious bear market in asset prices? Who knows? Once this happens, since most of the economic activity was supported by the rise in asset markets, I suppose they will print more money, and again have larger deficits.”

“So we don’t know exactly when the end will come. It could be 1 year from now, 3, 5, 10 years from now, but obviously one day it will come to an end. The longer it’s not seriously addressed, and the way I look at Congress they are not going to undertake serious decisions any time soon, the longer it’s not addressed the more structural damage will be done to the economy, and to society.”

- Marc Faber, via a recent King World News interview


Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

March 2013 Gloom Boom Doom- Asset deflation worries

The March 2013 Monthly Market Commentary (MMC) was published on the MMC subscribers only section and emailed on 1-Mar-2013. "I do not believe in a deflationary Collapse but I am afraid of it" I worry about the time when the current asset inflation will give way to a serious asset deflation, which will inevitably happen sometime in the future. As an observer of markets I am, therefore, concerned that the decline in gold prices could be telling us that we are about to enter a period of asset deflation. I should like to make two points very clear. I am not sure when the asset deflation will start. Most likely, different asset classes will deflate at different times and with different intensity. The second point I wanted to make is the following. In a deflationary environment (whenever it will happen), financial assets (stocks, government and corporate bonds especially high yield bonds) would likely be the most vulnerable assets. In fact, in a deflationary collapse, I would envision money to flow into a sound currency and move out of “funny” paper monies. Therefore, I continue recommending the gradual accumulation of physical gold. Similarly, most societies die because of their ill-conceived fiscal and monetary policies, and not because of their economic problems.

Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.


Popular Posts