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Tuesday, January 28, 2014

Marc Faber on Bubbles & Gold


  Marc Faber speaks on the importance of the Chinese economy to emerging economies, and specially to its neighboring Asian countries:

"To clarify a point about the size of the U.S. economy and its importance in the world, China imported 12% of global metals consumed in 2000. Now it imports up to 47% a year. China's growth has a major impact on emerging economies. The U.S. has no impact because it is a service economy. China has gone from sending less than a million travelers overseas in the mid-1980s to 100 million now. You hardly see American tourists in Asia any more."


Marc Faber on finding investment ideas currently and why Gold could go higher:

"All asset prices are in the sky, whether it is Picassos or Warhols or the flat that Steve Cohen is trying to sell. We are in a bubble. We are the bubble. It is only a question of which asset is in a lesser bubble. The U.S. is expensive, compared to the European market and especially emerging economies. Based on the level of today's secular adjusted P/E, returns in the next seven to 10 years will be minor, if not meaningless. The Mexican stock market went up 343 times between 1984 and '87 because of money-printing. Then the currency collapsed. The dollar can't collapse, so gold will come to the forefront."





Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

China vs USA advantages & disadvantages



Pretend you are the leader of China's army. The Americans are enlarging their bases in Australia, trying to stir up trouble in the Philippines and Vietnam, and lifting an embargo against Burma. America also has a defense pact with Japan. The Chinese depend on oil, copper, and iron, all imported commodities. What would you do to protect your border? 

The tensions in Asia are real and rising, and could cause a market panic, just like the financial crisis Felix discussed. The Chinese have decided to shrink their government's share of the economy and make markets freer. Everywhere in the industrialized world, you find the opposite.

China has a dark side, too. In the U.S., someone can be highly critical of the government and stay alive. If you write something negative about the leadership in China, you can be put in jail for a long time. There is only one Nobel Peace Prize winner behind bars -- Liu Xiaobo, in China.



Contrarian Investor Dr.Marc Faber is an international investor known for his uncanny predictions of the stock market and futures markets around the world.

MARC FABER BLOG

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